No it seems clear the death rate is around 1-2% but if 5 million Brits become infected it could mean 100,000 extra deaths. Blood groups and genetically-derived resistance might help to explain how some people display no symptoms while others get it bad.
I agree that the virus has spread to a lot of countries directly from Italy as they are not taking it seriously including the continents of Africa and South America.
Also agree that it will be rampant in the UK soon as we too are not taking it seriously enough. There is one case in the south where he has not been to an affected area. Try backtracking contacts and then their contacts - impossible. NHS is not equipped to cope. Millennials might be ok as they have been self isolating for 20 years.
No it seems clear the death rate is around 1-2% but if 5 million Brits become infected it could mean 100,000 extra deaths. Blood groups and genetically-derived resistance might help to explain how some people display no symptoms while others get it bad.
Any link to this?
I'm blood group 'O' by the way.
I agree that the virus has spread to a lot of countries directly from Italy as they are not taking it seriously including the continents of Africa and South America.
Also agree that it will be rampant in the UK soon as we too are not taking it seriously enough. There is one case in the south where he has not been to an affected area. Try backtracking contacts and then their contacts - impossible. NHS is not equipped to cope. Millennials might be ok as they have been self isolating for 20 years.
It's not that we aren't taking it seriously, we are. It's just that containment is virtually impossible at this stage when you consider how many people are infected and how much global transport we have. One infected person on an international flight can bring the virus into a new country. And then you've got to find everyone they had contact with, and everyone that those people had contact with. If the original infected person had contact with just 10 people and those people also had contact with 10 others, that's already over a hundred people you need to find and test. Now consider that there might be 10 infected people on that flight, or that the 100 newly infected people I talked about also each have contact with 10 other people. It quickly becomes impossible to properly contain it. China had sealed their borders the moment they knew about the outbreak in Wuhan then it's possible it wouldn't have spread beyond China. At this stage there's not much we can do, just be glad it doesn't seem to be much worse than the regular flu.
In my opinion, where they're falling down is they should instruct the entire population to do that 3 temp check thing and then give everybody an easy way to report it if they fail at least that way on a certain day they can rule out 99% of the population making getting in touch with the other 1% a much easier task and they can then be told to self isolate [ even tho i.m not convinced about that how do you self isolate if you live in a familiy home ? ] At least what we.ve done up to now seems to have worked.
I think we.ll end up with a lot of people with the symptoms but very few will go on to become seriously ill but I think they need to start clearing a few hospital wards and finding some alternative locations to requisition, Holiday Centres perhaps ?
I agree that the virus has spread to a lot of countries directly from Italy as they are not taking it seriously including the continents of Africa and South America.
Also agree that it will be rampant in the UK soon as we too are not taking it seriously enough. There is one case in the south where he has not been to an affected area. Try backtracking contacts and then their contacts - impossible. NHS is not equipped to cope. Millennials might be ok as they have been self isolating for 20 years.
It's not that we aren't taking it seriously, we are. It's just that containment is virtually impossible at this stage when you consider how many people are infected and how much global transport we have. One infected person on an international flight can bring the virus into a new country. And then you've got to find everyone they had contact with, and everyone that those people had contact with. If the original infected person had contact with just 10 people and those people also had contact with 10 others, that's already over a hundred people you need to find and test. Now consider that there might be 10 infected people on that flight, or that the 100 newly infected people I talked about also each have contact with 10 other people. It quickly becomes impossible to properly contain it. China had sealed their borders the moment they knew about the outbreak in Wuhan then it's possible it wouldn't have spread beyond China. At this stage there's not much we can do, just be glad it doesn't seem to be much worse than the regular flu.
In my opinion, where they're falling down is they should instruct the entire population to do that 3 temp check thing and then give everybody an easy way to report it if they fail at least that way on a certain day they can rule out 99% of the population making getting in touch with the other 1% a much easier task and they can then be told to self isolate [ even tho i.m not convinced about that how do you self isolate if you live in a familiy home ? ] At least what we.ve done up to now seems to have worked.
I think we.ll end up with a lot of people with the symptoms but very few will go on to become seriously ill but I think they need to start clearing a few hospital wards and finding some alternative locations to requisition, Holiday Centres perhaps ?
No it seems clear the death rate is around 1-2% but if 5 million Brits become infected it could mean 100,000 extra deaths. Blood groups and genetically-derived resistance might help to explain how some people display no symptoms while others get it bad.
Any link to this?
I'm blood group 'O' by the way.
It is too early for this to be anything other than supposition. I have no idea which blood group or which racial type is more or less susceptible. However here is a link to a paper.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4475644/
As regards the guy in Harlow who caught it you don't have to be Sherlock Holmes to notice Stansted Airport is 15 minutes drive away with lots of Ryanair flights from Northern Italy. He might just have been standing in a queue somewhere and been coughed on by the guy behind. Men seem to be the majority spreaders of the virus which is why football matches are considered as something to halt in the event of a national emergency.