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TOPIC: Odds on us winning promotion.

Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 06:40 #1

  • carwash
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I was reading Jon Colman's article which said we were 33-1 outsiders to win promotion. Surely even that price is remarkably bad value.

If we were to make the play-offs I'd have us at 10-1 but the chances of us getting 7th spot are themselves at least 10-1 maybe 20-1 with 8 teams down to Luton in with a chance. Wimbledon look the clear favourites and we would need to win at least 4 out of the last 5 in all probability and still hope that results went our way.

I know it's not over until it's over but realistically I'd put our chances at going up this season at 150-1.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 07:07 #2

  • CCU
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66/1 with Will Hill, is the current best price. A couple of the teams below us are priced lower...
Win or Lose, Up The Blues!
Last Edit: 13 Apr 2025 07:08 by CCU.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 09:10 #3

  • Dancingbear
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Since when did bookies offer realistic prices?
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 09:18 #4

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Dancingbear wrote:
Since when did bookies offer realistic prices?

Aye less and less with all this matched betting malarkey...
Win or Lose, Up The Blues!
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 09:33 #5

  • Dancingbear
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Well if bet365 are gonna throw a free thirty odd quid at us whenever theres a big game who am i not to take advantage ;).
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 09:47 #6

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Would be surprised if a team has ever been 10/1 to win the playoffs once they're in it.

Highly doubt we'll get in but if we did i we'd be about 9/2 (4th favourites)
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 11:37 #7

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;) Probably about the same as for spotting pink elephants, Or the famous Billionaire....
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 12:21 #8

  • GingerBalls
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If you look at the run in Wimbledon have - it is down to them to throw it away....

Crawley at HOME
Dag and Red AWAY
Leyton O at HOME
Pompey at HOME
Stevenage AWAY
Newport at HOME

Still, when folked asked me what I hoped for this season I said I would like us to be within a sniff of the play-offs and that is just about where we are...
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 13:47 #9

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I know a couple of guys based in Singapore who say we've already been promoted; prepare for life in League One ;)
If the world didn't suck we'd all fall off
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 20:02 #10

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Well Wimbledon and Exeter have more points than us and are in better form than us, so it is hard to make a logical argument that we will finish above them, but if everything went according to form, I would have quit my job and would be raking it in.

Win on Saturday and we'll be back in the mix.
If not, virtually zero chance.

Our form has been on par for the last few games, not terrible (on paper I mean).

Best hope really is eg W 3 D 1 L 1 and that is just enough to scrape it.

If we got in the play-offs we'd be about 6/1.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 13 Apr 2025 21:49 #11

  • howoldboy
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Can someone please change the header to read "Odds against us winning promotion"
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 13:57 #12

  • orfc
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If we got to the playoffs we'd have needed to be in some shit-hot form to get there so the bookies would have us lower-priced than you'd think

Plus one of the other sides is Accrington who we will beat 8-0 at Wembley as John Coleman's salty tears of rage reach up to the crossbar
Last Edit: 14 Apr 2025 13:58 by orfc.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 14:59 #13

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orfc wrote:
If we got to the playoffs we'd have needed to be in some shit-hot form to get there so the bookies would have us lower-priced than you'd think

Plus one of the other sides is Accrington who we will beat 8-0 at Wembley as John Coleman's salty tears of rage reach up to the crossbar

Accrington wont need the play offs believe me

They have a group of players who just go out to win never mind formations plans and fuc king sports science

Manager just puts 11 on the pitch and tells em to get on with it.

And now they have a man with a bit of spare cash behind them they.ll take a bit of stopping.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 17:32 #14

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Although you're obviously hypothesizing as to what goes on in the Accrington dressing room, it didn't go down too well when we had Kavanagh in charge who seemed to not bother with formations or plans...
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 17:41 #15

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pie wrote:
Although you're obviously hypothesizing as to what goes on in the Accrington dressing room, it didn't go down too well when we had Kavanagh in charge who seemed to not bother with formations or plans...

No actually i.m not as i.m pretty close to someone whos pretty close to the Accrington dressing room.

Big Difference between Kavanagh and Coleman one knows what hes doing and has been a manager for 18 of the last 20 years and the other doesnt and was just an idiot who got lucky when he got the job as he was the easy option and will probably stll only have that 18 months on his cv when he retires

Just watch how many of the Accrinton players who get offered new deals whichever division theyre in decide to stay there and as my mate says they look at it as being paid to play for a sunday league team where they all get on and have a good laugh.
Last Edit: 14 Apr 2025 17:45 by NORTHERNSOUL.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 20:57 #16

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Fair enough, I've got very strong links to the manager himself and you're knocking him down a fair bit considering what he's achieved, certainly more to him than picking 11 and sending them over the line. But I do take your point about them all wanting to play for him which definitely helps
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 21:10 #17

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pie wrote:
Fair enough, I've got very strong links to the manager himself and you're knocking him down a fair bit considering what he's achieved, certainly more to him than picking 11 and sending them over the line. But I do take your point about them all wanting to play for him which definitely helps

Dont get me wrong i.m not knocking him at all what he has done for that club is amazing but i wouldnt mind betting youd agree if he was given a job in the championship hed be totally out of his depth.

There are actually people in Accrington saying i hope Whatmore dont splash the money around as it will kill the club and what it stands for.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 21:17 #18

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Yep I think he's at the perfect club at the moment suits his style, his personality etc. Not sure he'd cut it with a load of money and expectation. Let's be honest you can't really fail at Accrington as they're a non league club in all but position
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 21:29 #19

  • Mashie Niblick
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I'd have him at our spot tomorra!
There's only one United!
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Odds on us winning promotion. 14 Apr 2025 22:10 #20

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pie wrote:
Yep I think he's at the perfect club at the moment suits his style, his personality etc. Not sure he'd cut it with a load of money and expectation. Let's be honest you can't really fail at Accrington as they're a non league club in all but position

But thats the problem however this season works out its given them something theyve never had before ambition and expectation.

And i would imagine it will change for ever the way he goes about his job after all Stanley managers were only ever sacked for being at the wrong end of the table and not for not achieving promotion.

And right now there are a large number of disenchanted Rovers supporters whos number could swell massively if the Venkys dont splash the cash at Ewood this summer who could be attracted to the Crown in a situation that wont come up very often.
Last Edit: 14 Apr 2025 22:14 by NORTHERNSOUL.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 15 Apr 2025 15:50 #21

  • RagingBlue
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Due to extreme boredom I looked at all the teams going for 7th place and I've got Wimbledon as a pretty much comfortable 7th placed finish. Playing some very average sides in their run in, their game in hand is Portsmouth but even with a loss there they have to be favourites.

I've gone for;

7. Wimbledon 73
8. Exeter 70
9. Carlisle 68
10. Leyton Orient 68
11. Wycombe 65

Hope I'm wrong..
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Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 13:03 #22

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pie wrote:
Yep I think he's at the perfect club at the moment suits his style, his personality etc. Not sure he'd cut it with a load of money and expectation. Let's be honest you can't really fail at Accrington as they're a non league club in all but position

Did you see the bit on Football focus it confirmed exactly what i said earlier in the week

In Billy Kees case almost word for word.
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Re:Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 14:27 #23

  • markredfox73
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Made me sick really.. tinpot club kicking on with games in hand like us while we went backwards ffs

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Re:Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 15:35 #24

  • Dancingbear
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You need to get over it Mark it's not just us who probably think we should be above them.
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Re:Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 15:39 #25

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Well sadly i dont ..other teams may think the same too but its bloody annoying

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Re:Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 16:07 #26

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And they have just gone 2nd
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Re:Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 17:00 #27

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Our play-off rivals seem to be getting the results now. with Mansfield and Luton hitting form, I think we have every chance of finishing in 14th place.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 20:10 #28

  • Mush
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Mashie Niblick wrote:
I'd have him at our spot tomorra!
a scouser? Never
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Odds on us winning promotion. 16 Apr 2025 20:12 #29

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If Wimbledon win 3 and loose 3 of their next 6 games we can only match them on points winning every game. They have a better gd as things stand. I think Wimbledon have got the final place with a couple of late wins in the last 2 games.
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Odds on us winning promotion. 17 Apr 2025 08:36 #30

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1,000,000,000 - 1


Or a billion to one to you and me ( and Jenkins and Nixon)
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