NORTHERNSOUL wrote:
Moorlad wrote:
There is no danger of administration to be honest.
The last published accounts show a profit (although it wasn't really) because of the write off of Fred's loan. The next accounts which are up to June this year but won't be filed until after Christmas, will show a very healthy profit due to the sales of Potts and Dempsey, extra cash for the young keeper at Man U and the cup games with Liverpool and Everton. Those two years of "profits" will be enough to keep the balance sheet at its current level or better for another 4 or 5 years. As long as there is cash generated there will be no real going concern problems for at least that amount of time so they are in a real position of strength compared with where they were when that money was still owed to Fred. The auditors may well still include a going concern paragraph, as I'm sure they'll have to, but the reality is the club's accounts look pretty healthy at the moment, even though there are still normal operating losses of almost half a million on a year's trading.
I agree Moorlad youre right we are a long way from Administration.and the only way to speed that up would be a NAPM protest from the fans but that comes at a large risk to any investment in the team somthing its pretty clear even a lot on here wont countenance never mind the happy clapping season ticket buying brigade.
So as a finance professional maybe you could make clear a couple of points from what youve read.in the statement etc.
Do you believe the Trusts golden share prevents Jenkins and co going ahead with this plan without their agreement ?
If it is as most people seem to believe an A and B share plan if they go ahead with it and the Trust dont take part and they dont find any other investors willing to purchase the B shares and Jenkins takes the lot and converts £1m of his debt into B shares. Does the overall control of both the holding company [thru the A shares ] and the 1921 company thru the Holding companys 94% holding remain unchanged ? and if so what would be the advantage to Jenkins personally.
I can see the advantage for the club in that it would remove £1m of debt from the accounts and that it would create a supposedly saleable asset for Jenkins himself but i see no great resale value in B shares being that they would bring no element of control of the company for him to sell and in my opinion he would be just as likely if not more so to get an investor to buy say a million quids worth of his debt for say a couple of hundred grand.because as Laffy says he who owns the debt controls the club.
Let me know if you would disagree with any of the above Moorlad .
Good post Barry, and yes I pretty much agree with all of what you say. However I don't know where the trust's shares stand now, I never really got to the bottom of what they had done when they were prepared to dilute their holding for Laffy's bid and whether they have actually allowed this sort of thing to happen, ie if they've already thrown away the entire golden share thing.
I think for Mr Jenkins personally it would just reinforce his control of the club and would make the debt situation appear more manageable from the point of view of anybody in the future wanting to buy out the club. If they are "B" shares there may even be some sort of dividend guarantee written into them which may be something to watch.
The value - and therefore the control - in the club, I agree entirely with Laffy, is in the debt. This would however make the entire Knighton Holdings company look much more saleable.