HuntingHorn wrote:
This is the bit I don't grasp Northumbrian....
Neither side actually has the feintest clue how it will turn out in the event they "win" the referendum...this is the only fact in the whole thing.
There are so many "facts" and figures being hurled around it's almost impossible to trust anything either side say.
It's a big risk to chose either side, both sides have their pitfalls but I'd rather we make our own decisions on what's best for us.
That is a pretty fair summary.... I think most reasonable people realise that virtually every "fact" trumpeted by either side isn't actually a fact.... most of the time it's a misrepresentation of the true figures or a dodgy worst case/best case scenario based on some dodgy modelling. You just have to try to cut through the bluster and BS by both sides and look at the bigger issues in general terms... To me it's about economics... we are being prevented from trading with massive markets because the protectionist French veto trade deals that threaten their economy. I don't believe for one moment the EU zone will stop trading with us in the longer term, maybe in the first couple of years but not beyond. If free movement is a fundamental principle of the EU then we need to expect millions more people coming into the country over the next decade... where will the new houses come from, how will we pay for the hundreds of new schools, hospitals, the new roads and rail infrastructure needed to cope? I am voting out because I want control over our economy, immigration policy and legal system.
I have a lot of friends who want to remain as they think things are already going quite well so why change? They are perfectly comfortable with closer integration of EU countries and see no issue with things like a single EU army. It really comes down to what is important to you as an individual. My belief is that the first couple of years after leaving may be a bit rocky whilst the whole separation takes place but we will be in a better position long term to make decisions about the UK in our own interest. I have a horrible feeling that the fear campaign of the remain campaign will push people to opt for the status quo as they see it as the least risky choice. At least the out supporters will have plenty of "told you so" moments over the next few years if we do remain in...